Between 2003-2005, the
correlation between the Canadian dollar and oil prices has been
approximately 80%. Canada is the ninth largest
producer of
crude oil in the world, and it continues to climb up the list, with
production in oil sands increasing regularly. In 2000, Canada surpassed Saudi Arabia as the United States' most significant oil
supplier. Unbeknownst to many, the
size of Canada's oil
reserves is second only to those in Saudi Arabia. The geographical proximity between the
U.S. and Canada, as well as the growing political
uncertainty in the Middle East and South America, makes Canada one of the more desirable places from which the U.S. can
import oil. But Canada does not
service only U.S.
demand. The country's vast oil resources are beginning to get a
lot of attention from China, especially since Canada has recently stumbled upon a new stash of oil after a
reclassification of its Alberta oil sands to the "economically recoverable" category. This makes the Canadian dollar one of the currencies best positioned to
benefit from an ongoing
surge in oil prices.