Warning on Credit Card's Billing Practices Warning on the Chinese Economy

Warning on Forecasting the Markets Consistently

Predicting the market with consistency is extremely difficult. Predicting the economy is probably even harder.
For seven years I ran an economic prediction contest, in which participants were asked to forecast variables such as growth in U.S. gross domestic product, oil prices, and unemployment.
Few people did well, and among those who did, there were few repeats from one year to the next.
Tags: economy, GDP, warnings