From numerous studies, including Burton Malkiel's 1995
study entitled, "Returns From Investing In Equity Mutual Funds," we know that most managers will
underperform their benchmarks. We also know that there's no consistent way to select - in
advance - those managers that will
outperform. We also know that very, very few individuals can profitably time the
market over the long term. So why are so many investors confident of their abilities to time the market and select outperforming managers? Fidelity guru Peter Lynch once observed, "There are no market timers in the 'Forbes' 400'." Investors' misplaced overconfidence in their
ability to market-time and select outperforming managers leads directly to a common
investment mistake.